Author: dhirendradas007@gmail.com

  • Will Shivraj Singh Chouhan Get a Union Ministry soon?

    On 11 Dec 2023, Mohan Yadav, MLA from Ujjain Dakshin was designated as the Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh replacing Shivraj Singh Chouhan. The decision was taken in a meeting between elected BJP MLAs of the state and central party observers.

    This decision was made a day after Vishnu Deo Sai became the CM of Chhattisgarh.

    It is a tradition in Indian politics that if a sitting CM does not continue even when the party gets re-elected, they are given a central leadership role, preferably as a Union Minister.

    Possible Ministries for Shivraj Singh Chouhan

    The designation of an ex-CM as Union Minister had happened after Assam CM Sarbananda Sonowal got his party re-elected in the 2021 Assam Assembly Elections. Later, Hemanta Biswa Sarma became the CM and Sonowal was sworn in as a Union Minister.

    We might witness the a Union Ministry role for Shivraj Singh Chauhan with my experience indicating a heavier ministry such as:

    • Ministry of AYUSH
    • Ministry of Communication
    • Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology
    • Ministry of Steel
    • Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs
  • End Shivraj Era as Mohan Yadav (मोहन यादव) Becomes New Madhya Pradesh CM

    Mohan Yadav who was the former Higher Education Ministry in the Shivraj Singh’s government in Madhya Pradesh has been selected as the Chief Minister in a meeting of party members and elected BJP MLAs of Madhya Pradesh. He won the 2023 Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections from Ujjain Dakshin for the third time.

    His designation as the Chief Minister by the BJP marks the end of 18 years of Shivraj Singh Chauhan who is fondly called as “mama” in the state.

    The decision comes after Vishnu Deo Sai was designated as Chhattisgarh CM.

    Who is Mohan Yadav? कौन हैं मोहन यादव?

    Mohan Yadav has been designated as the CM of Madhya Pradesh after the 2023 Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections. Earlier in the previous govt (2018-2023), he was the Higher Education Minister in the cabinet of Shivraj Singh Chauhan.

    Yadav is 58 years old and has won thrice from the Ujjain Dakshin seat.

    He was born on March 25, 1965 to Poonamchand Yadav. He is married to Seema Yadav and has one son.

    Yadav has zero criminal cases pending against him, neither he has been convicted in the past.

    In his electoral affidavit he has confirmed that he owns a 12 bore gun and a revolver.

    Source: Mohan Yadav’s Electoral Affidavit

    Yadav has also headed wrestling associations in the past.

    Election History

    Mohan Yadav stared his career as an MLA in the 2013 Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections where he won from Ujjain Dakshin assembly constituency. His number of votes in Ujjain Dakshin constituency has seen a consistent rise since 2013.

    He was declared Chief Minister in the BJP meeting between elected MLAs of the party in Madhya Pradesh and observers sent by the party.

    Past Elections

    YearConstituencyVotesVotes%Margin
    2013Ujjain Dakshin73,108
    2018Ujjain Dakshin78,17846.71
    2023Ujjain Dakshin95,69912,941
    Source: https://results.eci.gov.in

    Educational Qualifications

    Mohan Yadav has received the following degrees from Vikram University.

    1. Bachelor of Science
    2. LLB
    3. Master of Arts
    4. Master of Business Administration
    5. Doctorate of Philosophy

    Does Caste Matter?

    I have chosen not to comment on the caste angle of Mohan Yadav which I have seen almost all news channels and newspapers doing.

  • Supreme Court Upholds Amendment of Article 370 by Indian Parliament

    The Supreme Court has decides unanimously that the amendment of the Article 360 by the Narendra Modi-led NDA Government in the Indian Parliament on 5-6 Aug 2019 was valid.

    Article 370 was amended by the Indian Parliament on Aug 05, 2019 to remove all the special powers given to the state of Jammu and Kashmir.

    Summary of the Judgement

    • Power of President to remove Article 370 Valid
      • President did not need anyone’s recommendationswhether State Assembly or Union Govt
    • Elections to be conducted at the earliest and before 30 Sept 2024.
    • Article 370 was temporary provision based on its reading and its historical context.
    • It served two interim arrangements
      • to run the state till the constitution is formed
      • and due to the war scenario
    • Setup of commission to study human rights violations by the state and non-state elements in the Jammu and Kashmir.

    Verbatim Quote of Chief Justice DY Chandrachud

    “We have held that Article 370 is a temporary provision on a reading of the historical context on the basis of which it was included. Article 370 was introduced to serve two purposes.

    First, the transitional purpose, to provide for an interim arrangement until the constituent assembly of the state was formed and could take a decision on the legislative competence of the Union (Central Govt) on matters other than the ones stipulated in the Instrument of Accession and ratify the constitution.

    And second, a temporary purpose and interim arrangement in view of the special circumstances because of the war conditions in the state.

    We have held that a textual reading of the Article 370 also indicates that it is a temporary provision. For this purpose we have referred to the placement of the provision in the Part 21 of The Indian Constitution which deals with Temporary and Transitional Positions. The marginal note to the provision which states temporary provision with respect to the state of Jammu and Kashmir and a reading of Article 370 and 371 by which the state became an integral part of India upon the adoption of the constitution.

    Human Rights Violations

    Justice SK Kaul said that there will be a commission which will study the human rights violations in the state by anyone whether state or non-state actors since 1980.

    Response

    PM Narendra Modi

    The Prime Minister Modi responded by saying that the Supreme Court decision on Article 370 is a constitutional stamp of approval on the decisions taken by Indian Parliament in 2019.

    The PM also said that the current government strives to fulfil the dreams of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh with prosperity and developmental works.

    Today’s decision as per him was not only a judicial validation but also a ray of hope for a brighter future.

    What was the Article 370 Before and After Amendment

    State Map of Jammu and Kashmir before Removal or Article 370 and Bifurcation in 2019, Source MapsofIndia
    State Map of Jammu and Kashmir before Article 370 Removal and Bifurcation in 2019

    370. Temporary provisions with respect to the State of Jammu
    and Kashmir.

    (1) Notwithstanding anything in this Constitution

    (a) the provisions of article 238 shall not apply in relation to the State of
    Jammu and Kashmir;

    (b) the power of Parliament to make laws for the said State shall be limited
    to

    (i) those matters in the Union List and the Concurrent List which, in
    consultation with the Government of the State, are declared by the President
    to correspond to matters specified in the Instrument of Accession governing
    the accession of the State to the Dominion of India as the matters with respect
    to which the Dominion Legislature may make laws for that State; and

    (ii) such other matters in the said Lists as, with the concurrence
    of the Government of the State, the President may by order specify.

    (c) the provisions of article 1 and of this article shall apply in relation
    to that State;

    (d) such of the other provisions of this Constitution shall apply in
    relation to that State subject to such exceptions and modifications as the
    President may by order specify:

    Provided that no such order which relates to the matters specified in the
    Instrument of Accession of the State referred to in paragraph (i) of
    sub-clause (b) shall be issued except in consultation with the Government of
    the State:

    Provided further that no such order which relates to matters other than
    those referred to in the last preceding proviso shall be issued except with the
    concurrence of that Government.

    (2) If the concurrence of the Government of the State referred to in
    paragraph
    (ii) of sub-clause (b) of clause (1) or in the second proviso to
    sub-clause (d) of that clause be given before the Constituent Assembly for the
    purpose of framing the Constitution of the State is convened, it shall be placed
    before such Assembly for such decision as it may take thereon.

    (3) Notwithstanding anything in the foregoing provisions of this article,
    the President may, by public notification, declare that this article shall cease to
    be operative or shall be operative only with such exceptions and modifications
    and from such date as he may specify:

    Provided that the recommendation of the Constituent Assembly of the
    State referred to in clause (2) shall be necessary before the President issues
    such a notification.

    Article 370 Bare Act After Amendment

    1. All provisions of this Constitution, as amended from time to time,
      without any modifications or exceptions, shall apply to the State of Jammu and
      Kashmir notwithstanding anything contrary contained in article 152 or article 308 or
      any other article of this Constitution or any other provision of the Constitution of
      Jammu and Kashmir or any law, document, judgment, ordinance, order, by-law, rule,
      regulation, notification, custom or usage having the force of law in the territory of
      India, or any other instrument, treaty or agreement as envisaged under article 363 or
      otherwise.

    How was the Amendment Carried Out?

    For purposes of the Article 370, the Governor which earlier meant “Sadr-i-Riyasat” (Maharaja of Jammu and Kashmir) as the chief was to be referred as the Governor.

    For the purposes of the Article 370, the Constituent Assembly was to be read as the “(Jammu and Kashmir) Legislative Assembly”.

    Since the assembly was dissolved as on 5 Aug 2019 – till date, the powers of the assembly was conferred to the Indian Parliament which would be capable of making decisions on behalf of the state as per.

    What are Temporary, Transitional and Special Provisions in the Indian Constitution

    The articles 369-392 are the Temporary, Transitional and Special provisions of the Indian Constitution which deals with the states of:

    1. Jammu Kashmir – Article 370
    2. Maharashtra and Gujrat – Article 371
    3. Nagaland – Article 371A
    4. Assam – Article 371B
    5. Manipur – Article 371C
    6. Andhra Pradesh – Article 371D, Article 371E and Article 378A
    7. Sikkim – Article 371F
    8. Mizoram – Article 371G
    9. Arunanchal Pradesh – Article 371H
    10. Goa – Article 371I
    11. Karnataka – Article 371J
    • Article 372 states that laws in the states shall continue in existence.
    • Article 372A gives powers to the President to adapt laws.
    • Article 373 gives power to the President to make orders in respect to people under Preventive Detention in Certain Cases.
    • Article 374 allows judges of the Federal Court (Supreme Court) and proceedings pending in the Federal Court and before His Majesty.
    • Article 375 deals with continuation of courts, authorities and officers subject to the provisions of Indian Constitution.
    • Article 376 deals with the provisions of the Judges of the High Courts.
    • Article 377 deals with the provisions related to the Comptroller and Auditor General.
    • Article 378 deals with the provisions relating to the Public Service Commissions.
    • Article 378A deals with the special provisions related to the duration of the Andhra Pradesh Legislative Council (State Assembly).
  • Arun Sao, Vijay Sharma get Deputy CM and Raman Singh to be Speaker in Chhattisgarh

    After the selection of Vishnu Deo Sai as Chhattisgarh’s new Chief Minister, the former Chief Minister Dr. Raman Singh gets the designation of speaker in the Chhattisgarh Assembly while former MP Arun Sao and Vijay Sharma get the posts of Deputy Chief Ministers in the state.

    Deputy Chief Ministers are not constitutional designations and do not carry any special powers. However, traditionally they are allocated core ministries such as finance, revenue or home.

    Seats of the Leaders

    Lormi (Arun Sao, Kawardha (Vijay Sharma), Rajnandgaon (Raman Singh)
    Lormi (Arun Sao),
    Kawardha (Vijay Sharma),
    Rajnandgaon (Raman Singh)

    Dr. Raman Singh won the 2023 Assembly Elections from the Rajnandgaon assembly constituency with a margin of 45,084 votes.

    Arun Sao won from the Lormi constituency with a margin of 45,891 votes. He was earlier the MP from Bilaspur which also includes Lormi. Sao had specifically resigned from Lok Sabha on 6 Dec 2023 after winning the 2023 Assembly Elections.

    Vijay Sharma won with 39,592 votes from the Kawardha assembly constituency.

    Source: results.eci.gov.in

    Increasing Usage of Deputy CM Designation

    The designation of Deputy CM is not a constitutional post but has been used as a consolation prize to accommodate the ambitions of senior leaders who could not be the Chief Minister.

    Article 164 of the Indian Constitution says the Chief Minister shall be appointed by the Governor and other ministers shall be appointed by the Governor based on the advice of the Chief Minister.

    There is no mention of a Deputy Chief Minister or even a Deputy Prime Minister (last appointee Lal Krishna Advani).

  • Vishnu Deo Sai (विष्णु देव साय) New CM of Chhattisgarh by BJP

    BJP names Vishnu Deo Sai as the Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh on 10 Dec 2023, about 7 days after the party won assembly elections in the state winning 54 out of the 90 seats. Dr Raman Singh was appointed as Assembly Speaker, Arun Sao and Vijay Sharma were designated as Deputy CM.

    Related: Arun Sao, Vijay Sharma get Deputy CM and Raman Singh to be Speaker in Chhattisgarh

    Union Minister Sarbananda Sonowal, Arjun Minda and Dushyant Gautam were sent by the central party leadership as observers for Chhattisgarh.

    The name was finalized after the elected BJP MLAs had a meeting with the observers sent by the party leadership of JP Nadda, PM Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah.

    Related: End Shivraj Era as Mohan Yadav (मोहन यादव) Becomes New Madhya Pradesh CM

    Who is Vishnu Deo Sai?

    Vishnu Deo Sai in the Middle
    Vishnu Deo Sai in the Middle

    Vishnu Deo Sai won on 21 Feb 1964 is a politician and the former state head of the BJP for Chhatisgarh for three times.

    • 31 October 2006 – 11 May 2010
    • 21 January 2014 – 16 August 2014
    • 02 June 2020 – 09 August 2022

    He was born in a farmer family in Bagia, Jashpur district to Ram Prasad Sai and Jashmani Devi. He was married to Kaushalya Devi in 1991.

    He was educated at Loyola Higher Secondary School, Kunkuri.

    Twitter: Vishnu Deo Sai

    Electoral History

    Vishnu Deo Sai won the 2023 Chhattisgarh Assembly Elections from Kunkuri Assembly Constituency with 87,604 votes and a margin of 25,541 votes.

    Constituency Kunkri of Vishnu Deo Sai, Source: eci.gov.in
    Constituency Kunkri of Vishnu Deo Sai, Source: eci.gov.in

    Prior to this he continually won 4 Lok Sabha Elections from Raigarh in 1999, 2002, 2009, and 2014.

    MLA/MPAssemblySeatTenurePosition
    MLAMadhya PradeshKunkuri1990-1998Two Terms
    MP13th Lok SabhaRaigarh1999-2004Member of Committee on Absence of Members from the sittings of the House (1999-2000)
    Member of Committee on Food, Civil Supplies and Public Distribution (1999-2000)
    Member of Consultative Committee, Ministry of Agriculture (2000-2004)
    MP14th Lok SabhaRaigarh2004-2009Member of Committee on Information Technology
    Member of Committee on Water Resources (2007-2009)
    MP15th Lok SabhaRaigarh2009-2014Member, Committee on Commerce (31 Aug 2009)
    MP16th Lok SabhaRaigarh2014-2019Union Minister for State, Labour and Employment (26 May 2014 – 9 November 2014)
    Union Minister for State, Mines (26 May 2014 – 5 July 2016)
    Union Minister for State, Steel (26 May 2014 – 30 May 2019)
    MLAChhattisgarhKunkuriChief Minister of Chhattisgarh (Dec 2023 – present)
    Source: https://sansad.in/ls/members

    BJP MLA Meeting in Raipur

    Vishnu Deo Sai was chosen as the leader of the BJP MLAs in Chhattisgarh at a meeting held in Raipur.

    Also Read: Independent MLAs in Rajasthan 2023 Assembly Elections

  • Was Gopal Bhar a Real Man?

    Gopal Bhar (also spelled as Bhand, Bhanr and Bhad) is the famous character in a series of folk tales which show him as the witty court official of the Nadia Zamindar Maharaja Krishna Chandra Roy.

    His full name was Gopal Chandra Pramanik Ghumi.

    Though his stories seem much similar to Tenali Rama and Birbal, yet the existence of such a court official could

    Historical Records of Gopal Bhar

    There has been no historical records of Gopal Bhar in the books and magazines that I read so far for the contemporary period.

    1. The Role of Zamindars in Bengal (1707-1772), February 1973, Shirin Akhtar, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London.
    2. The Calcutta Review: 1872, The Territorial Aristocracy of Bengal – The Nadia Raj

    Though there has been several mentions for Maharaja Krishnna Chandra Ray, yet there seems to be no mention of Gopal Bhar.

  • Who was Raja Krishna Chandra Ray of Nadia? Real King of Gopal Bhar Stories

    Krishna Chandra Ray was the maharaja or zamindar of Nadia Zamindari (now Krishnanagar, Nadia District, W.B.) from 1728 – 1782 (see page 67-68). The raja was known for his resistance against the Mughal Rule and expansion of his ancestral Nadia zamindari through purchase of lands or by the use of force.

    Area Under Control

    Maharaja Krishna Chandra Ray’s area under control included 84 parganas and the area extended to 3151 square miles (approx. 8161 sq. km.) which is similar in size to the current day Indian State of Goa.. The boundaries of his realm was bounded in the north by Murshiadabad, the coastline of the Bay of Bengal by the south, Dhulpura in the east and by the Bhagirathi River on the west.

    I have sourced the above information from the book “The Territorial Aristocracy of Bengal: The Nadia Raj“, which was referenced by the Role of the Zamindars in Bengal (1707-1772), report by Shirin Akhtar, Department of Philosophy, The University of London.

    Krishna Chandra Ray in The Battle of Plassey

    Krishna Chandra Ray is believed to be a part of the group which led to the defeat of Siraj ud Daulah, the Nawab of Bengal in the battle of Plassey (also known as Palashi). The group consisted of the following members:

    1. Jagat Seth
    2. Mir Jafar
    3. Omichand
    4. Rai Durlabh

    The battle of Plassey (Palashi) is considered as a key battle that led to the establishment of British Raj in India.

    Maharaja Krishna Chandra Ray is the same king in the Gopal Bhar Stories, a popular folk tale series where Gopal Bhar is a witty official in the court of King Krishna Chandra Ray.

    Though historicity of the stories could be disputed in the same regard as Akbar-Birbal. The only original story of the nature is known to be of Tenali Rama who actually was a court official in the court of Emperor Krishnadevaraya of the Vijayanagar Empire.

    Sony Aath’s Gopal Bhar

    The stories were further popularized with Sony Aath’s animated show “Gopal Bhar”.

    Gopal Bhar Movie by Amal Sur Starring Santosh Dutta

    The movie Gopal Bhar released on 17 April 1980 was a Bangla movie starred by Santosh Dutta, Robi Ghosh, Tarun Kumar, Asit Baran and others. The movie was directed by Amal Sur.

    Santosh Dutta who played the role of Gopal Bhar was also a criminal lawyer and had a delicate balance between his acting and criminal cases often staying late in the night to study his cases before court appearance.

    The movie is 1 hour and 23 minutes long.

  • Modi is the Most Popular Global Leader with 76% Approval Ratings

    Narendra Modi remains the top global leader with the highest percentage of approval ratings according to a study done by Morningconsult.com. The top 5 leaders in the list were Modi (India), Obrador(Mexico), Alan Berset (Switzerland), da Silva (Brazil) and Albanese (Australia). Joe Biden received a distant 8th spot with 37% approval ratings.

    Report by Morning Consult

    Morning Consult conducted a survey of national leaders of 22 countries. In the list PM Modi had the highest percentage of approval ratings of 76% followed by Mexico’s President Obrador (66%) and Swiss President Berset (58%).

    Other global leaders such as Joe Biden received 37% approval ratings, Rishi Sunak (UK PM) received just 25% ratings, and the Japanese PM Kishida received a mere16% ratings.

    Below is the full list as tweeted by Morning Consult.

    Past Approval Ratings of PM Modi

    COVID-19

    Modi remains a top choice as a leader in India with several ratings giving him at least 50% of approvals. Even during the COVID, Modi’s approval ratings were 63% as per a report from May 2021 by the same Morning Consult which did the current survey.

    Demonetization

    In December 2016, a couple of months after demonetization, PM Modi’s approval ratings were at a high of 75%+ in a survey conducted by Cashless Chronicles. During that time the government gave people 50 days to dispose all the currency notes that were demonetized.

    Source: Zee Business
  • The Diplomat Movie (2024) Review

    The Diplomat (2024) is an action movie starring John Abraham and directed by Shivam Nair. The movie is set to release on 11 Jan 2024 and features John as a high ranking Indian Diplomat.

    It is written by Ritesh Shah.

    The movie has being produced by T-Series, Bhushan Kumar and Krishan Kumar, JA Entertainment, Vipul D Shah, Wakaoo Films, Fortune Pictures and Seeta Films.

    Storyline

    Diplomat features John Abraham as a Indian diplomat.

    Cast

    ActorAs
    John Abraham

    Trailer

    The trailer shows a high action and explosive first look. The movie is supposedly based on a true story.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NyHCtjoj2A
  • Crude Oil Prices at 5-Month Low

    On 7 Dec 2023, the global crude oil prices fell to a 5 month low after concerns of low demand in the market. This news comes when Saudi Arabia has already committed to cut oil productions by 1 million barrels per day on 30 November 2023, followed by a 500k barrels per day cut by Russia. Saudis have also cut the price of oil for their Asian customers in a bid to drive demand.

    WTI Crude Oil Prices om 07 December 2023
    WTI Crude Oil Prices om 07 December 2023

    Low Demand is the Main Factor Driving Oil Prices Down

    The global demand for oil has been falling on the back of weakening economies. Several European nations are on the brink of a technical recession. In Q3 of 2023, Euro Zone witnessed a negative growth of -0.1%.

    There has been a reduction in the business activity, industrial output which were caused due to rising interest rates and attempts to reduce inflation.

    In August 2023, Indian crude oil imports too slid to a 10-month low.

    Sources of Indian Crude Oil Imports

    Indian Crude Oil Imports April- Aug 2023, Source: ppac.gov.in
    Indian Crude Oil Imports April- Aug 2023, Source: ppac.gov.in

    Indian reliance on the middle east decreased on the wake of Russia-Ukraine war when global sanctions forced Russian oil and natural gas out of the European markets. This forced Russia to offer crude oil to countries with as deep as 30% discount on the global price.

    This is when Indian crude oil imports stareted to increase from Russia.

    Is it Good for India?

    Oil-based fuels like petrol, diesel, aviation fuel, etc., are the primary energy sources for almost all kinds of road-based transportation in India. A low oil price would mean lesser transportation costs which would further help in reducing the price of transported goods.

    Since more than 80% of India’s demand for oil is met via imports, a decline in prices would mean cheaper imports and greater revenue for the states and Union governments.